{ "schemaVersion": 1, "generatedAt": "2026-05-22T05:00:31.507Z", "purpose": "Public Pressure Mines Phase 13 data surface. Generated from Phase 10 operating-envelope receipts and Phase 12 same-field Bayesian pressure-floor receipts; do not hand-edit.", "sourcePaths": { "phase10Manifest": "results/mines/phase10-envelope/manifest.json", "phase10BestWorst": "results/mines/phase10-envelope/best-worst-cells.csv", "phase12Manifest": "results/mines/phase12-phase10-slate-reducer-64/manifest.json", "phase12Summary": "results/mines/phase12-phase10-slate-reducer-64/summary.json", "phase12RegretSummary": "results/mines/phase12-phase10-slate-reducer-64/bayes-regret-summary.csv", "phase12Actions": "results/mines/phase12-phase10-slate-reducer-64/bayes-actions.csv", "phase12Diagnostics": "results/mines/phase12-phase10-slate-reducer-64/posterior-diagnostics.csv", "phase12PosteriorMap": "results/mines/phase12-phase10-slate-reducer-64/frontier-posterior-map.json" }, "claimBoundary": "Pressure Mines remains an Operating-Envelope Study. The Bayesian comparator here is a pressure-floor parity receipt versus naive_pressure and sundog_minimal, not a claim that the current posterior policy dominates sundog_lean or clears the board.", "phase10": { "phase": "phase10-envelope", "generatedAt": "2026-05-11T16:27:37.382Z", "verdict": "CONFIRM", "cellCount": 46, "trialCount": 20608, "bestWorst": [ { "selection": "worst_cell", "cellId": "primary_factorial__density_noise_dropout__density_0p22_noise_1_dropout_0p35__w9__h9__m18__c0__s1__n1__d0p35__lag0__scan3", "cellClass": "failure_regime", "mode": "sundog_lean", "candidate": false, "failureRegime": true, "mineDensity": 0.222222, "mineCount": 18, "sigmaNoise": 1, "dropoutRate": 0.35, "targetBudgetAdjustedSafeTilesMean": 18.9375, "naiveBudgetAdjustedSafeTilesMean": 23.65625, "budgetDeltaVsNaiveMean": -4.71875, "budgetDeltaVsNaiveCiLow": -8.375781, "budgetDeltaVsNaiveCiHigh": -1.496484, "staticBoundaryStatus": "watch_boundary", "mechanismCodes": [ "frontier_ambiguity", "field_uninformative", "controller_overcommitted" ], "representativeSeed": 39, "replayUrl": "https://sundog.cc/mines?preset=easy_sparse&seed=39&mode=sundog_lean&sensor=doc_default&compare=naive_pressure&mine_count=18&scan_budget=0&sigma_noise=1&dropout=0.35" }, { "selection": "best_cell", "cellId": "primary_factorial__density_noise_dropout__density_0p16_noise_2_dropout_0p2__w9__h9__m13__c0__s1__n2__d0p2__lag0__scan3", "cellClass": "candidate_positive", "mode": "sundog_minimal", "candidate": true, "failureRegime": false, "mineDensity": 0.160494, "mineCount": 13, "sigmaNoise": 2, "dropoutRate": 0.2, "targetBudgetAdjustedSafeTilesMean": 28.4375, "naiveBudgetAdjustedSafeTilesMean": 21.21875, "budgetDeltaVsNaiveMean": 7.21875, "budgetDeltaVsNaiveCiLow": 3.375, "budgetDeltaVsNaiveCiHigh": 11.078516, "staticBoundaryStatus": "watch_boundary", "mechanismCodes": [ "field_uninformative" ], "representativeSeed": 47, "replayUrl": "https://sundog.cc/mines?preset=easy_sparse&seed=47&mode=sundog_minimal&sensor=doc_default&compare=naive_pressure&mine_count=13&scan_budget=0&sigma_noise=2&dropout=0.2" } ] }, "phase12": { "phase": "phase12-phase10-slate-reducer-64", "startedAt": "2026-05-17T17:12:58.014Z", "completedAt": "2026-05-17T17:14:39.404Z", "wallSeconds": 101.39, "trials": 14720, "cells": 46, "particleCount": 128, "sensorSeedPolicy": "shared_cell", "leakFree": true, "posteriorDecisions": 21195, "pressureFloorGate": { "label": "Pressure-floor parity", "pass": true, "comparators": [ "naive_pressure", "sundog_minimal" ], "negativeVsNaiveCells": 0, "negativeVsMinimalCells": 0, "note": "Pass means the pressure-budget Bayes lane is never worse than the pressure-ordering floor on mean budget-adjusted safe tiles. It does not mean Bayes dominates sundog_lean." }, "targetSummary": [ { "targetMode": "naive_pressure", "cells": 46, "meanBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "minBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "maxBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "negativeCells": 0, "zeroCells": 46, "positiveCells": 0 }, { "targetMode": "sundog_minimal", "cells": 46, "meanBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "minBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "maxBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "negativeCells": 0, "zeroCells": 46, "positiveCells": 0 }, { "targetMode": "sundog_lean", "cells": 46, "meanBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0.18784, "minBudgetAdjustedDelta": -2.578125, "maxBudgetAdjustedDelta": 3.40625, "negativeCells": 15, "zeroCells": 5, "positiveCells": 26 }, { "targetMode": "oracle_safe", "cells": 46, "meanBudgetAdjustedDelta": -25.190557, "minBudgetAdjustedDelta": -50.015625, "maxBudgetAdjustedDelta": -3.8125, "negativeCells": 46, "zeroCells": 0, "positiveCells": 0 } ], "promotedCandidate": { "naive_pressure": { "meanBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "minBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "maxBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "winDelta": 0, "n": 64 }, "sundog_minimal": { "meanBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "minBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "maxBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "winDelta": 0, "n": 64 }, "sundog_lean": { "meanBudgetAdjustedDelta": -1.515625, "minBudgetAdjustedDelta": -46, "maxBudgetAdjustedDelta": 38, "winDelta": 0, "n": 64 }, "oracle_safe": { "meanBudgetAdjustedDelta": -39.859375, "minBudgetAdjustedDelta": -67, "maxBudgetAdjustedDelta": -7, "winDelta": -64, "n": 64 } }, "classCounts": { "candidate_positive": 1, "failure_regime": 23, "neutral": 7, "watch_boundary": 15 } }, "claimCards": [ { "id": "phase10-operating-envelope", "label": "Phase 10 operating envelope", "status": "CONFIRM", "scope": "A narrow confirmed density/noise/dropout pocket is published beside its matched failure region." }, { "id": "phase12-bayes-pressure-floor", "label": "Phase 12 Bayesian pressure floor", "status": "PRESSURE_FLOOR_RECEIPT", "scope": "Same-field pressure-budget Bayes matches naive_pressure and sundog_minimal floors across the Phase 10 cell slate; sundog_lean remains a separate stronger comparator in the promoted candidate." } ], "posteriorCells": [ { "role": "confirmed_pocket", "label": "Confirmed pocket", "reason": "Phase 10 promoted positive pocket.", "cellId": "primary_factorial__density_noise_dropout__density_0p16_noise_2_dropout_0p2__w9__h9__m13__c0__s1__n2__d0p2__lag0__scan3", "seed": 47, "replayUrl": "https://sundog.cc/mines?preset=easy_sparse&seed=47&mode=sundog_lean&sensor=doc_default&compare=naive_pressure&mine_count=13&scan_budget=0&sigma_noise=2&dropout=0.2", "replayParams": { "preset": "easy_sparse", "seed": "47", "mode": "sundog_lean", "sensor": "doc_default", "compare": "naive_pressure", "mine_count": "13", "scan_budget": "0", "sigma_noise": "2", "dropout": "0.2" }, "cell": { "cellId": "primary_factorial__density_noise_dropout__density_0p16_noise_2_dropout_0p2__w9__h9__m13__c0__s1__n2__d0p2__lag0__scan3", "selection": "phase10_candidate", "cellClass": "candidate_positive", "preset": "easy_sparse", "board": { "width": 9, "height": 9, "mineCount": 13, "replayScanBudget": 0, "configuredScanBudget": 3 }, "sensor": { "sigma": 1, "sigmaNoise": 2, "dropoutRate": 0.2, "delaySteps": 0 } }, "bayesRegret": { "naive_pressure": { "meanBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "minBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "maxBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "winDelta": 0, "n": 64 }, "sundog_minimal": { "meanBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "minBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "maxBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "winDelta": 0, "n": 64 }, "sundog_lean": { "meanBudgetAdjustedDelta": -1.515625, "minBudgetAdjustedDelta": -46, "maxBudgetAdjustedDelta": 38, "winDelta": 0, "n": 64 }, "oracle_safe": { "meanBudgetAdjustedDelta": -39.859375, "minBudgetAdjustedDelta": -67, "maxBudgetAdjustedDelta": -7, "winDelta": -64, "n": 64 } }, "traceSamplePolicy": { "turns": "first 6 representative-seed Bayes pressure decisions", "candidates": "first 10 candidates from each stored posterior map entry" }, "turns": [ { "turn": 1, "budget": "pressure", "frontierSize": 8, "selected": { "action": "reveal", "x": 3, "y": 4, "hazard": 0.170556, "pressure": 0.089603, "pressureScore": 0, "actionRisk": 0, "riskSource": "pressure_floor_guard", "ess": 28.309217, "terminalAfter": null, "leakFree": true }, "hazardRange": { "min": 0.056714, "max": 0.71163 }, "observedPressureCount": 65, "candidates": [ { "idx": 39, "x": 3, "y": 4, "hazard": 0.170556, "entropy": 0.658976, "pressure": 0.089603, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0, "actionRisk": 0 }, { "idx": 49, "x": 4, "y": 5, "hazard": 0.260774, "entropy": 0.827913, "pressure": 0.142516, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.01635, "actionRisk": 0.01635 }, { "idx": 48, "x": 3, "y": 5, "hazard": 0.091701, "entropy": 0.442122, "pressure": 0.813106, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.223565, "actionRisk": 0.223565 }, { "idx": 32, "x": 5, "y": 3, "hazard": 0.128679, "entropy": 0.553804, "pressure": 0.996131, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.28012, "actionRisk": 0.280121 }, { "idx": 31, "x": 4, "y": 3, "hazard": 0.328729, "entropy": 0.913622, "pressure": 1.200332, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.343219, "actionRisk": 0.34322 }, { "idx": 41, "x": 5, "y": 4, "hazard": 0.71163, "entropy": 0.866606, "pressure": 3.325811, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 1, "actionRisk": 1.000001 }, { "idx": 50, "x": 5, "y": 5, "hazard": 0.056714, "entropy": 0.314259, "pressure": "", "confidence": 0, "pressureScore": 1.5, "actionRisk": 1.5 }, { "idx": 30, "x": 3, "y": 3, "hazard": 0.087755, "entropy": 0.428931, "pressure": "", "confidence": 0, "pressureScore": 1.5, "actionRisk": 1.5 } ] }, { "turn": 2, "budget": "pressure", "frontierSize": 15, "selected": { "action": "reveal", "x": 5, "y": 1, "hazard": 0.095604, "pressure": -2.314503, "pressureScore": 0, "actionRisk": 0, "riskSource": "pressure_floor_guard", "ess": 51.788064, "terminalAfter": null, "leakFree": true }, "hazardRange": { "min": 0.095604, "max": 0.975521 }, "observedPressureCount": 67, "candidates": [ { "idx": 14, "x": 5, "y": 1, "hazard": 0.095604, "entropy": 0.454904, "pressure": -2.314503, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0, "actionRisk": 0 }, { "idx": 32, "x": 5, "y": 3, "hazard": 0.104135, "entropy": 0.481968, "pressure": -1.541427, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.101132, "actionRisk": 0.101132 }, { "idx": 41, "x": 5, "y": 4, "hazard": 0.105049, "entropy": 0.484801, "pressure": -1.086507, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.160643, "actionRisk": 0.160643 }, { "idx": 65, "x": 2, "y": 7, "hazard": 0.355575, "entropy": 0.938949, "pressure": 0.053689, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.3098, "actionRisk": 0.309801 }, { "idx": 20, "x": 2, "y": 2, "hazard": 0.46544, "entropy": 0.996551, "pressure": 1.459678, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.493728, "actionRisk": 0.493729 }, { "idx": 24, "x": 6, "y": 2, "hazard": 0.423247, "entropy": 0.982935, "pressure": 1.881749, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.548942, "actionRisk": 0.548943 }, { "idx": 27, "x": 0, "y": 3, "hazard": 0.631703, "entropy": 0.949356, "pressure": 2.498599, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.629637, "actionRisk": 0.629638 }, { "idx": 21, "x": 3, "y": 2, "hazard": 0.860631, "entropy": 0.582584, "pressure": 3.213279, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.72313, "actionRisk": 0.72313 } ] }, { "turn": 3, "budget": "pressure", "frontierSize": 16, "selected": { "action": "reveal", "x": 6, "y": 2, "hazard": 0.091403, "pressure": -1.299581, "pressureScore": 0, "actionRisk": 0, "riskSource": "pressure_floor_guard", "ess": 61.06504, "terminalAfter": "mine_triggered", "leakFree": true }, "hazardRange": { "min": 0.091403, "max": 1 }, "observedPressureCount": 59, "candidates": [ { "idx": 24, "x": 6, "y": 2, "hazard": 0.091403, "entropy": 0.441134, "pressure": -1.299581, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0, "actionRisk": 0 }, { "idx": 20, "x": 2, "y": 2, "hazard": 0.345832, "entropy": 0.93029, "pressure": 1.569654, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.351115, "actionRisk": 0.351115 }, { "idx": 27, "x": 0, "y": 3, "hazard": 0.451024, "entropy": 0.993068, "pressure": 1.980624, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.401407, "actionRisk": 0.401407 }, { "idx": 74, "x": 2, "y": 8, "hazard": 0.368586, "entropy": 0.94958, "pressure": 2.285852, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.438758, "actionRisk": 0.438758 }, { "idx": 19, "x": 1, "y": 2, "hazard": 0.487756, "entropy": 0.999567, "pressure": 2.330849, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.444264, "actionRisk": 0.444265 }, { "idx": 41, "x": 5, "y": 4, "hazard": 0.557109, "entropy": 0.990569, "pressure": 2.941164, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.51895, "actionRisk": 0.518951 }, { "idx": 33, "x": 6, "y": 3, "hazard": 0.680931, "entropy": 0.903367, "pressure": 3.030901, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.529931, "actionRisk": 0.529932 }, { "idx": 21, "x": 3, "y": 2, "hazard": 0.484997, "entropy": 0.99935, "pressure": 3.133633, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.542503, "actionRisk": 0.542504 } ] } ] }, { "role": "mapped_failure", "label": "Mapped failure", "reason": "Phase 10 paired negative region.", "cellId": "primary_factorial__density_noise_dropout__density_0p22_noise_1_dropout_0p35__w9__h9__m18__c0__s1__n1__d0p35__lag0__scan3", "seed": 39, "replayUrl": "https://sundog.cc/mines?preset=easy_sparse&seed=39&mode=sundog_lean&sensor=doc_default&compare=naive_pressure&mine_count=18&scan_budget=0&sigma_noise=1&dropout=0.35", "replayParams": { "preset": "easy_sparse", "seed": "39", "mode": "sundog_lean", "sensor": "doc_default", "compare": "naive_pressure", "mine_count": "18", "scan_budget": "0", "sigma_noise": "1", "dropout": "0.35" }, "cell": { "cellId": "primary_factorial__density_noise_dropout__density_0p22_noise_1_dropout_0p35__w9__h9__m18__c0__s1__n1__d0p35__lag0__scan3", "selection": "phase10_cell", "cellClass": "failure_regime", "preset": "easy_sparse", "board": { "width": 9, "height": 9, "mineCount": 18, "replayScanBudget": 0, "configuredScanBudget": 3 }, "sensor": { "sigma": 1, "sigmaNoise": 1, "dropoutRate": 0.35, "delaySteps": 0 } }, "bayesRegret": { "naive_pressure": { "meanBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "minBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "maxBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "winDelta": 0, "n": 64 }, "sundog_minimal": { "meanBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "minBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "maxBudgetAdjustedDelta": 0, "winDelta": 0, "n": 64 }, "sundog_lean": { "meanBudgetAdjustedDelta": -0.234375, "minBudgetAdjustedDelta": -16, "maxBudgetAdjustedDelta": 1, "winDelta": 0, "n": 64 }, "oracle_safe": { "meanBudgetAdjustedDelta": -43.046875, "minBudgetAdjustedDelta": -62, "maxBudgetAdjustedDelta": -7, "winDelta": -64, "n": 64 } }, "traceSamplePolicy": { "turns": "first 6 representative-seed Bayes pressure decisions", "candidates": "first 10 candidates from each stored posterior map entry" }, "turns": [ { "turn": 1, "budget": "pressure", "frontierSize": 8, "selected": { "action": "reveal", "x": 3, "y": 3, "hazard": 0.003879, "pressure": -0.181729, "pressureScore": 0, "actionRisk": 0, "riskSource": "pressure_floor_guard", "ess": 6.991769, "terminalAfter": null, "leakFree": true }, "hazardRange": { "min": 0.003879, "max": 0.518979 }, "observedPressureCount": 53, "candidates": [ { "idx": 30, "x": 3, "y": 3, "hazard": 0.003879, "entropy": 0.036657, "pressure": -0.181729, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0, "actionRisk": 0 }, { "idx": 39, "x": 3, "y": 4, "hazard": 0.28056, "entropy": 0.856213, "pressure": 1.206387, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.636888, "actionRisk": 0.636888 }, { "idx": 48, "x": 3, "y": 5, "hazard": 0.029834, "entropy": 0.193557, "pressure": 1.245004, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.654606, "actionRisk": 0.654606 }, { "idx": 31, "x": 4, "y": 3, "hazard": 0.146111, "entropy": 0.600023, "pressure": 1.997801, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 1, "actionRisk": 1 }, { "idx": 41, "x": 5, "y": 4, "hazard": 0.114949, "entropy": 0.514665, "pressure": "", "confidence": 0, "pressureScore": 1.5, "actionRisk": 1.5 }, { "idx": 49, "x": 4, "y": 5, "hazard": 0.116848, "entropy": 0.520233, "pressure": "", "confidence": 0, "pressureScore": 1.5, "actionRisk": 1.5 }, { "idx": 50, "x": 5, "y": 5, "hazard": 0.129937, "entropy": 0.557264, "pressure": "", "confidence": 0, "pressureScore": 1.5, "actionRisk": 1.5 }, { "idx": 32, "x": 5, "y": 3, "hazard": 0.518979, "entropy": 0.99896, "pressure": "", "confidence": 0, "pressureScore": 1.5, "actionRisk": 1.500001 } ] }, { "turn": 2, "budget": "pressure", "frontierSize": 12, "selected": { "action": "reveal", "x": 2, "y": 4, "hazard": 0.177969, "pressure": 1.061787, "pressureScore": 0, "actionRisk": 0, "riskSource": "pressure_floor_guard", "ess": 8.55493, "terminalAfter": null, "leakFree": true }, "hazardRange": { "min": 0.087144, "max": 0.797046 }, "observedPressureCount": 48, "candidates": [ { "idx": 38, "x": 2, "y": 4, "hazard": 0.177969, "entropy": 0.675614, "pressure": 1.061787, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0, "actionRisk": 0 }, { "idx": 49, "x": 4, "y": 5, "hazard": 0.087144, "entropy": 0.426864, "pressure": 1.207095, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.056428, "actionRisk": 0.056428 }, { "idx": 32, "x": 5, "y": 3, "hazard": 0.519121, "entropy": 0.998945, "pressure": 2.035052, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.377949, "actionRisk": 0.37795 }, { "idx": 41, "x": 5, "y": 4, "hazard": 0.326357, "entropy": 0.911161, "pressure": 2.074611, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.393311, "actionRisk": 0.393312 }, { "idx": 20, "x": 2, "y": 2, "hazard": 0.797046, "entropy": 0.727798, "pressure": 3.104452, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.793231, "actionRisk": 0.793231 }, { "idx": 22, "x": 4, "y": 2, "hazard": 0.377092, "entropy": 0.955962, "pressure": 3.284137, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.863008, "actionRisk": 0.863008 }, { "idx": 39, "x": 3, "y": 4, "hazard": 0.657761, "entropy": 0.926945, "pressure": 3.316496, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.875574, "actionRisk": 0.875574 }, { "idx": 50, "x": 5, "y": 5, "hazard": 0.749203, "entropy": 0.812539, "pressure": 3.630018, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.997324, "actionRisk": 0.997325 } ] }, { "turn": 3, "budget": "pressure", "frontierSize": 15, "selected": { "action": "reveal", "x": 4, "y": 5, "hazard": 0.112318, "pressure": -0.775118, "pressureScore": 0, "actionRisk": 0, "riskSource": "pressure_floor_guard", "ess": 3.487005, "terminalAfter": null, "leakFree": true }, "hazardRange": { "min": 0.02365, "max": 0.984567 }, "observedPressureCount": 48, "candidates": [ { "idx": 49, "x": 4, "y": 5, "hazard": 0.112318, "entropy": 0.50687, "pressure": -0.775118, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0, "actionRisk": 0 }, { "idx": 39, "x": 3, "y": 4, "hazard": 0.026515, "entropy": 0.176603, "pressure": 0.237786, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.202142, "actionRisk": 0.202142 }, { "idx": 31, "x": 4, "y": 3, "hazard": 0.100814, "entropy": 0.47157, "pressure": 0.887405, "confidence": 1, "pressureScore": 0.331784, "actionRisk": 0.331784 }, { "idx": 37, "x": 1, "y": 4, "hazard": 0.02365, "entropy": 0.161472, "pressure": 1.014424, "confidence": 1, 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